German Fans In Dilemma
So Octopus Paul has already predicted who will win the Germany vs Spain Semi Final match of the 2010 FIFA World Cup competition. In a decision that sent German fans into dismay, and punters into confusion, Octopus Paul picked Spain to win this crucial match. Octopus Paul has so far maintained a perfect 100% prediction of all match results involving the German team. But now, all a sudden, German fans are hoping that Octopus Paul will be wrong this time.
The 100% Track Record Of Octopus Paul
As a reminder, during this current 2010 FIFA World Cup competition, Octopus Paul correctly predicted Germany’s victories over Australia, Ghana, England and Argentina. Octopus Paul also correctly predicted Germany’s defeat by Serbia. With this kind of perfect track record, what should the German fans and punters do with Octopus Paul’s prediction of a Spanish victory over Germany in the semi-final clash?
Octopus Paul’s Prediction
At the Sea Life Aquarium in the German city of Oberhausen whcih Octopus Paul calls home, the world’s media came to witness Octopus Paul making his prediction on the outcome of the Germany vs Spain semi-final match. Such is the attraction surrounding the psychic power of Octopus Paul that even the German all-news channel n-tv carried the prediction live, with commentary by 2 reporters.
As before, a tasty mussel was placed inside each of 2 glass cube, one marked with the German flag and the other with the Spanish flag. Octopus Paul makes his prediction when he enters a particular cube to eat the mussel. The country whose flag is on the cube that Octopus Paul enters is the winner.
So what happened at this live TV show? Octopus Paul went on an inspection tour. It is said that Octopus Paul first went to the cube with the Spanish flag. The Octopus Paul next moved over to the cube with the German flag. At that point, Octopus Paul hovered over that German cube, seemingly attracted to the mussel inside it. But then, Octopus Paul made up his mind, and very quickly, Octopus Paul went back to the Spanish cube, and gobbled up the mussel inside it. By this action, Octopus Paul indicated that Spain will win the semi-final match against Germany in this 2010 FIFA World Cup competition.
Can Octopus Paul Be Trusted This Time?
The dilemma facing German fans and punters is the track record of Octopus Paul in the 2008 European Championship. There Octopus Paul had a 80% accuracy in predicting the results of matches involving the German team. In this 2010 FIFA World Cup competition, Germany has already played 5 games. The semi-final game will be its sixth. If Octopus Paul makes a mistake this time, its track record of 1 mistake in 6 games will be something like 17%, or an accuracy of 83% – quite close to Octopus Paul’s track record of 80% accuracy during the 2008 European Championship. German fans are hoping that Octopus Paul is wrong, but the real dilemma is faced by punters. Do they place bets based on a Spanish victory as predicted by Octopus Paul, or bet on the opposite of a Germany victory on the basis that Octopus Paul is statistically due for a mistake?
What Mistake Did Octopus Paul Make In The 2008 European Championship?
In case you are wondering what mistake did Octopus Paul make in the 2008 European Championship, the answer is that Octopus Paul made only 1 mistake. Octopus Paul correctly predicted all of the results of the German team, up to the Final match. In the runup to that final match, Octopus Paul predicted that Germany would win the game, and the Cup. But Octopus Paul was wrong. Germany lost.
And the winner of the 2008 European Championship? You guess it – Spain, by a 1-0 score.
Think About It
Should the outcome of a game be based on what Octopus Paul says? Are the Spanish players rejoicing that Octopus Paul picked them to win over Germany in the semi-final match in this 2010 FIFA World Cup competition? And what about the German players – will they be psychologically affected? And how will punters react? Let’s see the outcome this Wednesday.
Previous posts
2010 FIFA World Cup – Germany Through To Semi Final Stage
2010 FIFA World Cup Quarter Final – Germany Got A Boost
2010 FIFA World Cup – England’s Exit Due To German Secret Weapon?
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